See our full Oscar board predictions here.

Welcome to October and award season! The major fall film festivals have wrapped up, from Venice and Telluride to TIFF and now the New York Film Festival. So many anticipated awards contenders have premiered, delivering receptions that have either surprised us or validated what we’ve been thinking about them all year.

We’ve seen the premieres of Wild Horse Nine, Elsinore, The Debut, I Play Rocky, Being Heumann, Behemoth!, and Artificial, among others. Meanwhile, theatrical studio films like The Social Reckoning and Digger have seen their awards-season momentum stall based on critical reception. 

As a result we're focusing on our Best Picture predictions this episode discussing the studios and films competing for the 10 slots and the state of our current predictions and on-the-bubble contenders.

The last time we did our Best Picture analysis was back in August with Dean Coburn, when we ran through our top predictions across the major Oscar categories. But now it’s time for a postmortem on festival season for what’s changed in our Best Picture lineup: what we’ve added, what we’ve dropped, and how our awards-season outlook has evolved.